Point Shaver: NFL’s Week 11

Pima Post 

If you are struggling with a gambling addiction, call 1-800-522-4700.

Welcome back to Point Shaver. I had missed last week because of being sick, but we are back to helping you win money on football spreads. I predict a 60% win rate every week.

GreenBay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings (Packers -2.5) Both teams are coming off a big win, but the Packers shut out the Seahawks who had Russell Wilson back. The Packers defense is becoming one of the best defenses in the league. In back-to-back games, the team held the Chiefs under 14 and held the Seahawks to a goose egg. Aaron Rodgers has had a quiet but really efficient year with 17 touchdowns and just 4 interceptions. Division games are always close, so I think the Packers win and cover in a close game, 27-24. 

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Dallas Cowboys (Chiefs -2.5) I hate to bet against my favorite team, but I have to pick the Chiefs here because of home field advantage. Both teams are similar with explosive offenses and a defense that has been playing above their head. I think Patrick Mahomes has emerged from his slump and has turned back to being the best quarterback in the league. I think Dallas will have success, and this will most likely be a high-scoring game. Both teams are coming off big wins, but I was more impressed with the Chiefs beating the Raiders rather than the Cowboys beating the Falcons. I have the Chiefs to win by a game-winning Harrison Butker field goal, 30-27.

Arizona Cardinals vs. Seattle Seahawks (Cardinals -2.5) The Cardinals are one of the most complete teams in the league and are going against a 3-6 Seahawks team. I see this as being a potential blowout especially if Kyler Murray comes back. Deandre Hopkins is also rumored to come back with James Connor in the backfield who leads the league in rushing touchdowns. The Cardinals can beat you running the ball and through the air and possess more ways to beat you than the Seahawks do, who will be dependent on Russell Wilson to be great. Another division game so I will be safe and keep it close. Cardinals will win and cover, 26-23.

New Orleans Saints vs. Philadelphia Eagles (Saints +1.5) Yes, the Saints are coming off a loss to the best record team in the AFC, while the Eagles are coming off a big win over the Denver pretender Broncos. The Saints are the better team offensively and defensively and are better coached. The Saints are without Jamies Winston for the rest of the year obviously but the dropoff from Jamies to Trevor Siemian hasn’t shown to be a big one. The Eagles have shown us over and over this year that after a big win they always lose their next game. For example, after a big win over the Falcons on opening day, the next week they lost to the 49ers. The Eagles have a big win over the Panthers and go on to lose to the Bucs. The Eagles have a big win over the Lions and go on to lose to the Chargers. The Eagles go back to being mediocre this week. The Saints will win as a slight underdog and cover the spread, 23-17.

Buffalo Bills vs. Indianapolis Colts (Colts +7.5) The Colts have a method to win games close or keep it close all game and that is using the rushing leader Johnathon Taylor and control time of possession. The line is a little rich for me, especially betting against a potential playoff team. The Bills have shown inconsistencies on offense of going 3 and out too many times, and this Colts defense is nothing to scoff at. Of course, the Bills have dominated the Jets, Dolphins and Texans, but they have shown to struggle against competent teams. I have the Bills winning, but the Colts easily cover, 29-24.