Point Shaver: NFL’s Week 13

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Welcome back to Point Shaver. Since the start of Point Shaver, I have a 60% or higher win percentage every week. Last week we went 80% and we are looking to keep that same success this week.

Dallas Cowboys vs. New Orleans Saints (Cowboys -5.5) Cowboys coming off a two-game skid against the Chiefs and the Raiders but they were without their marquee wide receivers. The Saints are on the longest losing streak in the NFL and will be without arguably their best player Alvin Kamara and both their offensive tackles. I don’t trust Taysom Hill to do much offensively without his best two weapons, and I see the Cowboys causing a couple turnovers. The Cowboys will bounce back and win on Thursday night at New Orleans and cover, 27-16.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons (Bucs -11) The Bucs will blow out the Falcons and here is why. Every team the Bucs have played against that is under .500, they have won by 23 against the Falcons earlier in the season, won by 28 against the Dolphins, won by 35 against the Bears, and won by 20 against the Giants. The Bucs beat up on bad teams, and the Falcons are a bad team. The Bucs are better offensively and defensively and will win this game by a large margin. The Bucs will cover and easily win, 38-20.

Washington Football Team vs. Las Vegas Raiders (Washington +2.5) Upset alert: This weekend in Las Vegas, the Washington Football team will upset the Las Vegas Raiders and here’s why. Washington has caught fire and is coming in as one of the hottest teams in the NFL. Coming off wins against Brady and Russ, they are feeling confident and are clicking both offensively and defensively. In their last four games, the defense is only allowing on average 19 points per game and, over their last three games, they are averaging 25. This shows me that the team is holding their opponents to field goals, and the team is going down the field and getting in the endzone. Taylor Heinicke is a gamer and I don’t trust the dysfunctional Raiders as of now. Washington with the upset and covers, 24-20.

Miami Dolphins vs. New York Giants (Dolphins -4) The Dolphins started off the season 1-7 and have quietly racked up the second biggest win streak in the NFL. During this four-game win streak, the Dolphins have held teams on average to 11 points which would be the best over this streak. Over the last four games, the offense has scored more every game which shows that Tua is starting to get comfortable and is driving them down the field. If the AFC is not careful, the Dolphins could very well turn the table and win out. I look at Miami right now as one of the toughest teams to beat moving forward and the Giants stand zero chance of winning. With Daniel Jones being potentially out, the Dolphins will force a couple turnovers and march down the field. This game will be a blowout, with the Dolphins winning and easily covering, 27-13.

Los Angeles Rams vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (Rams -13) Yes, I know the Rams are on a three-game losing streak, but you have to add context to those losses. They lost to the Packers, Titans and the 49rs, who are a division rival. The Jags have one win and it was by a game-winning field goal in London. The Rams will blow out the Jags, and it is because Trevor Lawerence has shown in his rookie season he will turn the ball over. The Rams defense is very good and will cause some turnovers and march down the field. Matthew Stafford has been turnover prone these past couple games but will be efficient against this bad Jags team. Rams will win by a blowout and cover, 33-14.