Point Shaver: NFL’s Week 12

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Welcome back to Point Shaver. Since the start of Point Shaver, I have a 60% or higher win percentage every week. 

Buffalo Bills vs. New Orleans Saints (Bills -5.5) Both the Saints and Bills are coming off big losses against .500 teams, but the Bills will bounce back and destroy the Saints. The Saints’ offense is very limited and are going against a very good Bills defense. The Bills have a more complete team and obviously a better quarterback with Josh Allen. The Bills win in a blowout and cover, 31-17.

Dallas Cowboys vs. Las Vegas Raiders (Raiders +8) I am a Cowboys fan, but I am not an idiot. The Cowboys are on a short week and will be without their two starting wide receivers, Amari Cooper and Ceedee Lamb. The Raiders have been disappointing, but they are getting 8 points and are going against an injured Cowboys team. I hope the Cowboys win by 100 points, but it is a primetime game and conventional wisdom says that is too many. The Cowboys will win, but the Raiders will cover, 27-20.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Indianapolis Colts (Bucs -2.5) In my opinion, this is one of the best games of the year, as a hot Colts team is at home against the Super Bowl champion Bucs. I have to go with the Bucs here, and here’s why, The Bucs are the best rush defense in the league, while the Colts’ biggest strength is Jonathan Taylor and that run game. Which means Carson Wentz will be forced to do more, and I see Wentz having a couple turnovers while Brady is being efficient. This game will be close, but the Bucs will win and cover, 27-24. 

Miami Dolphins vs. Carolina Panthers (Dolphins +1) I know you guys will think I am crazy, but stop the Cam Newton hype train. Tua as of right now is a better quarterback and will prove that this Sunday. The Dolphins have a better, healthier defense and cause more turnovers than the Panthers. This game will come down to a Newton fumble or interception and Tua will get the Dolphins in field goal range and win. The Dolphins will win and cover in the upset, 23-20.

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Denver Broncos (Chargers -2.5) What is Vegas thinking with this spread? The Chargers are clearly the better team, and here’s why. The Broncos, in their past four games, have scored over 20 one time, which shows the offense has been struggling moving the ball or turning over the ball. In their last eight games, the Chargers have scored 20 or more in seven of them, which shows this is an offensive mismatch. Justin Herbert is coming off one of his most impressive performances of his career last week against the Steelers and will continue to stay hot. The Chargers win and cover, 26-19.